Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.079357 0.088932 0.098859 0.109894 0.121789 0.134197 0.148094
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.062826 0.076794 0.092149 0.110157 0.130568 0.152862 0.178925
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.050516 0.066992 0.086105 0.109602 0.137394 0.168912 0.207039
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.044689 0.063541 0.086413 0.115625 0.151347 0.193032 0.244754
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.040348 0.061094 0.087287 0.121853 0.165321 0.217249 0.283008
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.034649 0.056008 0.084093 0.122380 0.171850 0.232280 0.310279
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.028838 0.049945 0.078888 0.119659 0.173757 0.241279 0.330026
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.026444 0.048368 0.079431 0.124288 0.184998 0.261972 0.364476
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.023941 0.046282 0.078984 0.127365 0.194100 0.279983 0.395762
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.021447 0.043874 0.077797 0.129196 0.201411 0.295681 0.424248
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.018969 0.041163 0.075883 0.129762 0.206850 0.308887 0.449616
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.018758 0.042218 0.079679 0.138654 0.223943 0.337760 0.495761
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.016300 0.039207 0.077156 0.138429 0.228714 0.350897 0.522411
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014525 0.037212 0.076107 0.140369 0.236658 0.368594 0.555617
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.012610 0.034666 0.073929 0.140419 0.241823 0.382579 0.584133
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.012153 0.034949 0.076494 0.147929 0.258051 0.412104 0.634036
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.011737 0.035249 0.079071 0.155500 0.274505 0.442185 0.685092
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.010372 0.033290 0.077477 0.156192 0.280563 0.457650 0.716253
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008664 0.030252 0.073652 0.152973 0.280509 0.464361 0.735377
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008206 0.030071 0.075078 0.158504 0.293925 0.490449 0.781612
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.007574 0.029357 0.075419 0.162173 0.304499 0.512577 0.822581
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.006846 0.028266 0.074930 0.164354 0.312749 0.531424 0.859153
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.006050 0.026833 0.073631 0.165028 0.318580 0.546781 0.890950